---
title: Trying to make the right decision - and not making one at all
description: Nokia and Apple saw the same market shift. One delayed, one committed early. Here’s why waiting for the perfect decision can lead to worse outcomes.
image: https://www.advancementquest.com/hubfs/warehouse%20life%20and%20death.png
---

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![A warehouse aisle split in two: one side clean and organized, the other dark, rusted, and clearly abandoned. The contrast highlights how poor decisions lead to visible neglect and failure.](https://www.advancementquest.com/hs-fs/hubfs/warehouse%20life%20and%20death.png?width=1679&height=937&name=warehouse%20life%20and%20death.png)

Second Look

# Trying to make the right decision - and not making one at all

![Advancement Quest Team](https://www.advancementquest.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Mountain%20ChatGPT1%20black%20transparent-1.png?width=48&height=48&name=Mountain%20ChatGPT1%20black%20transparent-1.png)

 Advancement Quest Team

April 30, 2026

## *A case study of life and death.*

### In 2007:

- Nokia held ~50% of the global smartphone market
- Apple had 0%

Market value reflected it.

Nokia was worth roughly ~$130–150B and was one of the most valuable companies in Europe.  
Apple was worth roughly ~$70–80B.

Then the market shifted to touchscreens, software-first devices, and app ecosystems.

Both saw it coming.

### Case A - Nokia

Nokia didn’t ignore the shift. It worked across multiple directions at once, keeping options open while trying to refine the right path.

- improving Symbian OS
- developing MeeGo
- experimenting with touchscreen hybrids

Progress continued across all paths — more work, more refinement, more iteration - without locking into one direction early.

### Case B - Apple

Apple moved differently. It chose a direction and launched.

The first iPhone had visible limitations:

- no App Store
- slow 2G internet
- no copy & paste

It was clearly below the level of completeness Nokia was working towards in its systems and devices.

The decision was made anyway.

### What followed

- Apple scaled rapidly, building the ecosystem as it went
- Nokia’s position weakened, and its market share collapsed

By 2013, Nokia had sold its mobile division to Microsoft after a failed turnaround, as loss of position made continuation unviable.

Apple went on to become the most valuable company in the world, reaching ~$2T+ market value.

There was no difference in awareness, capability, talent, resources, or exposure to the market shift.

But when and how the decision was made was dramatically different.

#### ⚡A slightly worse decision made now often beats a perfect one you never commit to.

 

---

### 🚀 **What to do next**

If this feels familiar, start here:

<https://www.advancementquest.com/second-look/>👉 Run the [Second Look Decision Diagnostic](https://sldiag.advancementquest.com/second-look/decision-diagnostic/?entry=second-look/) to see what’s missing before you decide  
👉See [why this happens](https://www.advancementquest.com/second-look/situations/stuck-between-options/)

 👉 📖 Read more on [Second Look blog](https://www.advancementquest.com/blog/tag/second-look)<https://www.advancementquest.com/second-look-blog>

You can continue with making the decision afterwwards.

## Share this post

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## Keep reading

### [![An illustration of a robot wearing glasses, hunched over a cluttered desk piled with paper and documents, writing a business plan](https://www.advancementquest.com/hs-fs/hubfs/ChatGPT%20buiness%20plan%20AI%20clinic%20Hubspot.png?width=1734&height=907&name=ChatGPT%20buiness%20plan%20AI%20clinic%20Hubspot.png) AI Clinic Second Look Check Decision What did ChatGPT miss in my business plan?](https://www.advancementquest.com/blog/what-did-chatgpt-miss-in-my-business-plan)

### [![Alt text: A close-up of hands exchanging money for a basket of cobras across a desk, illustrating the parable of an incentive scheme that backfires](https://www.advancementquest.com/hs-fs/hubfs/Bonuses%20hubspot.png?width=1734&height=907&name=Bonuses%20hubspot.png) Second Look Should Sales Bonuses Reward Revenue or Profit Per Deal?](https://www.advancementquest.com/blog/should-sales-bonuses-reward-revenue-or-profit-per-deal)

<https://www.linkedin.com/company/advancement-quest/about/>

---

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